Less than two months away from election day, Joe Biden and President Trump enter the final stretch of their presidential campaigns.
After record setting fundraising efforts this summer and slowed spending on advertising in the spring, Biden’s campaign has a $141 million edge over President Trump’s. Only spending half of what was brought in last month, the influx of donations to Biden’s campaign reflects a historic push by the Democrats to take back the white house.
The most recent NBC poll shows Joseph R. Biden maintaining a steady 51% to 43% lead nationally, despite his edge slightly shrinking. But in crucial swing states, such as Florida, Biden continues to command the incumbent in the polls. One exception is Texas, where President Trump is at a 48% to 46% advantage. Trump won both of these states in the 2016 race and it’s important to note that his support has been difficult to gauge by the polls.
Texas has a growing Hispanic, Black, and Asian American communities along with white suburbs that are growing more moderate. Florida is considered a tossup with its diverse, yet conservatie leaning residents. Georgia, which hasn’t voted blue since the 1990s, has been growing more politically diverse with the growth of Atlanta and surrounding suburbs.
Analysts at Politico have declared Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as the eight crucial swing states that will sway the 2020 election. They have been determined by a variety of factors including polling, demographics, and the resource allocation of both campaigns.
Since these states tend to fluctuate between red and blue each election cycle, the focus on them is heavy. But within each state, certain types of voters are at the focal point. The key to winning the white house is Latino voters, the largest minority group in the electorate. President Trump’s focus is on the working class and rural white along with suburbanites, whose support for him is shrinking.
With the passing of former Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg, a trailblazer for female rights, the appointment of the vacant seat stands to influence the election. The SCOTUS battle comes at a time where another nomination by the current President could shift the court more right ideologically, and ultimately be the sixth GOP nomination.
The Postmaster General, Louis Dejoy, claims that the United States Postal Service is equipped to handle an expected increase of mail during this election season. For the first time in history, the majority of people will have the opportunity to cast their ballots by mail. This adjustment, without adequate time to implement changes, has proven to be a cause for concern.
A federal judge issued a historic decision to block Dejoy from modified USPS policies or protocols in the time up to the election. Recent lawsuits from the Republican National Committee and President Trump, which aim to bypass the USPS and instead utilize ballot drop boxes, could result in voter disenfranchisement and uncounted votes.
While both mail and in person voting will end on November 3, post election fights in the courts seem likely given the President’s claims that the election will be rigged. Mail in voting will inevitably prolong the counting of ballots and delay the final outcome of the election.
On September 29, the President and Joe Biden will contend over their fitness to lead the nation in the first of three scheduled debates. Debates are essential to influence voters who are undecided, while for may it is simply a confirmation of their choice.